Real Return Calculator

Real return: what your money actually earns

Nominal returns are headlines. Real returns are wealth. The 8% market return your fund advertises is a nominal figure — it doesn't account for inflation eroding purchasing power, or for tax taking a slice of the gain. The real return is what's actually adding to your spending power year-over-year, and it's almost always materially less than the nominal figure suggests.

Standard formula: real return = ((1 + after-tax nominal) / (1 + inflation)) − 1. The /(1+inflation) division is the key — inflation compounds against your gains, not just subtracts from them. At a nominal 8% return, 20% effective tax, 3% inflation: after-tax nominal is 6.4%, real return is (1.064/1.03 − 1) = 3.30%. Compounded over 30 years, the difference between 8% nominal and 3.30% real is enormous: $10k grows to $100k nominal but only $26k in real terms.

For Australian context, super accumulation is taxed at 15%, super pension at 0%, outside super at marginal rates with CGT discount and franking offsetting some of the burden. Long-run inflation has averaged ~2.5%; recent quarters have been higher. Use real returns when modelling retirement adequacy — nominal figures will materially under-state how much you actually need.

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Methodology & sources

Standard Fisher equation: real return = ((1 + after-tax nominal) / (1 + inflation)) − 1. After-tax nominal = nominal × (1 − tax%). Doesn't model: differential tax treatment of income vs capital gains (CGT discount halves capital gains tax), franking credits offsetting tax on Australian shares, super accumulation/pension/outside-super tax differences. The 'effective tax on returns' input lets you set a blended rate to approximate. General information only.

Estimates only. This calculator is not intended to be relied on for making a decision about a financial product, and it does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider obtaining advice from an Australian financial services licensee before making any financial decisions. Assumptions can be changed where shown; statutory rates are as legislated for the year stated on this page. How our calculators work, their assumptions and limitations →