Lump Sum vs Pension Calculator 2025-26

From 1 July 2026: Transfer Balance Cap rises to $2.1M. The Transfer Balance Cap (TBC) limits how much super you can move into a tax-free retirement-phase pension. Current FY 2025-26 cap is $1.9M; by AWOTE indexation it rises to $2.1M from 1 July 2026 (a $200K lift). Division 296 (extra 15% tax on the portion of total super balance over $3M, +25% over $10M) also starts 1 July 2026. This calculator uses the current FY 2025-26 TBC. Full breakdown: Federal Budget 2026-27.

Lump sum vs pension — what's the trade-off?

At retirement (typically age 60+ from a taxed fund) you have three options for accessing super: leave it in accumulation, start an account-based pension, or withdraw it as a lump sum. The headline tax positions are: accumulation earnings taxed at 15%, retirement-phase pension earnings tax-free up to the Transfer Balance Cap ($1.9M for FY 2025-26, rising to $2.1M on 1 July 2026 by AWOTE indexation), and outside-super earnings taxed at your marginal rate (with CGT discount and franking credits softening the blow somewhat).

Mathematically, if you're going to draw a steady income from your super, the pension wins on tax efficiency at almost every income level. Earnings inside the pension grow without tax friction; earnings outside super get taxed each year. Over 20-30 years of retirement, that compound difference is meaningful — typically 5-15% better terminal balance in the pension scenario at moderate drawdowns.

The Centrelink interaction is the main complicator. Lump-sum withdrawals can sometimes shrink your assessable assets if you spend the money down (e.g. on home renovations — your principal residence is exempt) or contribute to a younger spouse's super (still in accumulation). For most retirees the pension wins; for some, splitting the difference (partial pension + partial lump sum for one-off needs) is optimal. This calculator shows the long-run wealth side; pair with the Assets Test Calculator for the Centrelink side.

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ABP →Super Drawdown →Age Pension →TTR →
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Methodology & sources

Projects the user's super balance over the chosen number of years under two scenarios: (1) retirement-phase account-based pension with tax-free earnings (simplification — assumes balance stays under the Transfer Balance Cap); (2) full lump-sum withdrawal at year zero and invested outside super at the same gross return, with earnings taxed at a blended 20% effective rate. Both scenarios apply the same annual drawdown. Excludes inflation, sequence-of-returns risk, fees, and Centrelink Age Pension interaction. The 20% blended rate is an indicative effective tax for someone in the 30% marginal bracket holding 50% in franked Australian shares (with franking offset) and 50% in growth-orientated assets receiving the 50% CGT discount on realised gains. Real outcomes vary widely — general information only, not personal financial advice.

Estimates only. This calculator is not intended to be relied on for making a decision about a financial product, and it does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider obtaining advice from an Australian financial services licensee before making any financial decisions. Assumptions can be changed where shown; statutory rates are as legislated for the year stated on this page. How our calculators work, their assumptions and limitations →